Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007













Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007







← 2003
November 6, 2007
2011 →

































 

Steve Beshear by Gage Skidmore.jpg

Ernie Fletcher.jpg
Nominee

Steve Beshear

Ernie Fletcher

Party

Democratic

Republican
Running mate

Daniel Mongiardo
Robbie Rudolph
Popular vote

619,552
435,773
Percentage

58.7%
41.3%




Kentucky Governor Election Results by County, 2007.svg
Results by county
Beshear:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Fletcher:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%








Governor before election

Ernie Fletcher
Republican



Elected Governor

Steve Beshear
Democratic






















The Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007 was held on November 6, 2007. In this election, incumbent Republican Governor Ernie Fletcher lost to Democratic challenger Steve Beshear, who therefore began serving as Governor of Kentucky in December 2007 for a term through December 2011. A primary election to determine the Republican and Democratic nominees for governor was held on May 22, 2007 in which Ernie Fletcher (Republican) and Steve Beshear (Democrat) won their respective primaries.[1] Beshear's running mate, Daniel Mongiardo, was elected as Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky for that same time period.




Contents






  • 1 Background


  • 2 Democratic primary


    • 2.1 Candidates


    • 2.2 Polling


    • 2.3 Results




  • 3 Republican primary


    • 3.1 Candidates


    • 3.2 Polling


    • 3.3 Results




  • 4 General election


    • 4.1 Polling


    • 4.2 Results




  • 5 See also


  • 6 References


  • 7 External links





Background


Fletcher came under increasing criticism from both parties after his involvement in a state employee hiring controversy, in which Fletcher was accused of illegally hiring civil service employees for their political affiliations and loyalties. An investigation by the Attorney General of Kentucky and a special grand jury led to the indictment of 13 Fletcher administration officials. Fletcher issued a blanket pardon for anyone in his administration (other than himself) who was or may have been involved in the scandal. Fletcher himself was later indicted by a grand jury for three misdemeanors: conspiracy, official misconduct and political discrimination. All were related to the merit system investigation. On August 24, 2006, Fletcher reached a deal with the Attorney General's office that led to the dismissal of the charges in exchange for Fletcher's acknowledgment that "the evidence strongly indicates wrongdoing by his administration with regard to personnel actions within the merit system. Further, the governor hereby states that these actions were inappropriate and that he regrets their occurrence and accepts responsibility for them as head of the executive branch of state government." (See Ernie Fletcher: Merit system investigation) Fletcher's approval rating as of May 11, 2007 was at 38%,[2] putting him among the lowest governors in the nation.


Anne Northup, who was defeated for re-election to the House of Representatives in 2006, and Paducah businessman Billy Harper challenged Fletcher in the Republican primary. Both had supported and worked for Fletcher's 2003 campaign. Despite his troubles, Fletcher was able to fend off the primary challenge, winning a majority of the vote (see below).


On the Democratic side, an increasingly competitive primary campaign developed. Louisville businessman Bruce Lunsford spent over five million dollars, most of it being his own money, in the campaign. On May 7, Kentucky State Treasurer Jonathan Miller withdrew from the race and endorsed Steve Beshear. Lunsford, Beshear, State House Speaker Jody Richards, and former Lt. Governor Steve Henry consistently polled significantly ahead of the other candidates. Given the crowded field, many believed a runoff election was likely between the top two finishers—which polls suggested would be Beshear and Lunsford—if no candidate was able to obtain at least 40% of the vote. Beshear, however, was able to avoid a runoff with 40.9% (see below).



Democratic primary



Candidates



  • Steve Beshear – former Lt. Governor of Kentucky, 1983–1987; former Attorney General of Kentucky, 1979–1983; former State Representative, 1974–1979.


  • Running mate: State Senator Daniel Mongiardo, 2001–2007.


  • Gatewood Galbraith – Attorney, Legalization of Marijuana and Industrial Hemp Advocate


  • Running mate: Mark Wireman


  • Steve Henry – former Lt. Governor of Kentucky, 1995–2003


  • Running Mate: Fayette County Property Valuation Administrator Renee True


  • Otis Hensley – Private contractor from Wallins Creek, Kentucky who received 3% of the vote in the Democratic primary in 2003.


  • Running mate: Richard Robbins


  • Bruce Lunsford – prominent Louisville businessman; unsuccessful candidate for the Democratic nomination for Governor of Kentucky in 2003.


  • Running mate: Greg Stumbo, Attorney General of Kentucky 2003–2007; former State Representative, 1985–2003.


  • Jody Richards – State Representative, 1975–present (Speaker of the House, 1996–2007); received 47% of the vote in the Democratic primary for Governor of Kentucky in 2003.


  • Running mate: John Y. Brown III, Kentucky Secretary of State 1995–2003.


Polling























































































































Source
Date
Beshear (D)
Galbraith (D)
Henry (D)
Hensley (D)
Lunsford (D)
Richards (D)

Survey USA
May 18–20, 2007

32%
7%
17%
1%
23%
12%

Penn, Schoen and Berland
May 16–17, 2007

26%
N/A
13%
N/A
22%
12%

GarinHartYang Research
May 14–15, 2007

35%
N/A
13%
N/A
23%
12%

Survey USA
May 12–14, 2007

32%
5%
18%
1%
23%
12%

Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll
May 10–14, 2007

27%
4%
13%
1%
21%
7%

Miller (D)

Survey USA
Apr 28-30, 2007
23%
6%
18%
1%

29%
9%
7%

Mellman Group
Apr 19-22, 2007
15%
N/A

24%
N/A
16%
9%
20%

Survey USA
Mar 31 – Apr 2, 2007
15%
8%

20%
1%

20%
12%
8%

Survey USA
Mar 3-5, 2007
15%
6%

26%
2%
7%
13%
8%

GarinHartYang Research
Feb 20-22, 2007

21%
N/A

21%
N/A
8%
16%
8%


Results



























































Democratic primary results[3]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%


Democratic

Steve Beshear

142,838

41.02


Democratic
Bruce Lunsford
74,578
21.42


Democratic
Steve Henry
60,893
17.49


Democratic
Jody Richards
45,433
13.05


Democratic
Gatewood Galbraith
20,704
5.95


Democratic
Otis Hensley
3,792
1.09
Total votes

348,238

100


Republican primary



Candidates



  • Ernie Fletcher – Incumbent Governor of Kentucky, 2003–present; former U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 1999–2003; former State Representative, 1995–1997


  • Running mate: Robbie Rudolph, State Secretary of Executive Cabinet, 2006–2007; State Secretary of Finance, 2003–2006.

  • Billy Harper – Businessman


  • Running mate: Dick Wilson.


  • Anne Northup – former U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 1997–2007; former State Representative, 1987–1997.


  • Running mate: Jeff Hoover, State Representative 1997–present.


Polling



























































Source
Date
Fletcher (R)
Harper (R)
Northup (R)

Survey USA
May 18–20, 2007

44%
17%
34%

Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll
May 10–15, 2007

41%
10%
26%

Survey USA
May 12–14, 2007

44%
14%
34%

Survey USA
April 28–30, 2007

46%
14%
34%

Survey USA
Mar 31 – Apr 2, 2007

40%
16%
31%

Survey USA
Mar 3-5, 2007

33%
13%
31%
Public Opinion Strategies[4]
Jan 28-29, 2007

39%
10%

39%


Results






































Republican primary results[3]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%


Republican

Ernie Fletcher (Incumbent)

101,328

50.08


Republican
Anne Northup
73,919
36.53


Republican
Billy Harper
27,092
13.39
Total votes

202,339

100


General election



Polling





















































































































Source
Date
Beshear (D)
Fletcher (R)

Survey USA
Nov 2-4, 2007

59%
39%

Rasmussen Reports
Nov 1, 2007

54%
39%

Survey USA
Oct 27-29, 2007

60%
36%

Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll
Oct 26-29, 2007

56%
33%

Research 2000
Oct 22-24, 2007

55%
40%

Survey USA
Oct 19-21, 2007

58%
38%

Survey USA
Oct 8-9, 2007

56%
40%

Insider Advantage
Sep 24-25, 2007

45%
35%

Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll
Sep 13-18, 2007

55%
35%

Preston-Osborne
Sep 13-17, 2007

51%
36%

Research 2000
Sep 10-13, 2007

56%
39%

Survey USA
Sep 8-10, 2007

58%
39%

Survey USA
Aug 4-6, 2007

58%
37%

Preston-Osborne
Jul 25 – Aug 2, 2007

49%
31%

Survey USA
Jul 14-16, 2007

59%
36%

Insider Advantage
Jul 8-9, 2007

41%
38%

Rasmussen Reports
May 24–25, 2007

51%
35%

Survey USA
May 23–24, 2007

62%
34%


Results



Image showing electoral support for candidates by county

Electoral support for candidates, by county[5]


Fletcher conceded to Beshear at 9:00 PM on November 6.






















































Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
±


Democratic

Steven Lynn Beshear/Frank Daniel Mongiardo

619,553

58.71%

+13.74%


Republican
Ernest Lee Fletcher/Robbie Rudolph (Incumbent)
435,772
41.29%
-13.74%
Majority
183,781
17.41%
+7.34%
Total votes
1,055,325




Democratic gain from Republican

Swing



Turnout

37.8%[6]
-2.4%


See also



  • United States elections, 2007

  • United States gubernatorial elections, 2007

  • State of Kentucky

  • Governors of Kentucky


  • BluegrassReport.org—Kentucky politics blog run during Gov. Fletcher's administration



References





  1. ^ LEX18 - Lexington, KY - News, Weather, Sports - Fletcher, Beshear To Face Off In Nov Archived May 21, 2008, at the Wayback Machine.


  2. ^ "SurveyUSA News Poll #12133". Surveyusa.com. Retrieved 2012-08-18..mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit}.mw-parser-output q{quotes:"""""""'""'"}.mw-parser-output code.cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration{color:#555}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration span{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-right{padding-right:0.2em}


  3. ^ ab "Kentucky State Board of Elections Welcome to the State Board of Elections". Elect.ky.gov. Archived from the original on August 24, 2011. Retrieved 2012-08-18.


  4. ^ Steitzer, Stephenie (2007-02-02). "Northup: Survey shows her tied with Fletcher". The Kentucky Post. Covington, Kentucky. p. A2.


  5. ^ electionresults.ky.gov - View Election Results


  6. ^ http://elect.ky.gov/SiteCollectionDocuments/Election%20Statistics/turnout/2006-2010/07gen.pdf




External links


Candidates



  • Steve Beshear for Governor (Archive)


  • Ernie Fletcher for Governor (Archive)


Information


  • Kentucky Secretary of State Filing Report

  • Louisville Courier-Journal recap of Democratic primary

  • Louisville Courier-Journal recap of Republican primary

  • Unofficial Election results (live returns)









Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Monte Carlo

Information security

章鱼与海女图